It might just be the cinematic end to the drama that has unfolded, disgusted and shocked the conservative movement over the last year. Wisconsin, the birthplace of the Republican Party, is gearing up to trot the Trump movement and take back the party from an imposter.
In a townhall forum with CNN this week, Trump averred that the top job of the federal government was security, education, and health care, annulling decades of conservative and Republican policy positions. He followed that up by disparaging Scott Walker (Republican Governor with over 80% approval rating) for refusing to raise taxes in Wisconsin while balancing a budget. The deficit of $2.2 Billion was a figment of Trump’s imagination as by law the state of Wisconsin requires the governor to sign in a balanced budget. The important question is which party’s nomination is Trump seeking?
Polls over the last week have shown Ted Cruz winning the winner take most badger state of Wisconsin. In fact, it is giving an insight into a thumping loss to Trump, probably ending with 0-6 delegates. The real estate mogul who was leading in the Badger state until last month is not very much wary of the history of Republican Party and what it went through the last six years.
Wisconsin has been in continuous political combat for six years. Over that time, Republicans lived through Gov. Scott Walker’s heroic battle for his Act 10 public-sector bargaining reform; a Senate recall effort; judicial races; a political assault in a vicious John Doe probe; a gubernatorial recall effort; another election cycle; campaign-finance reform; a right-to-work law; an overhaul of the state’s ethics body and prevailing-wage reform. Just a few of them.
The state is an abode to Paul Ryan, US House of Representative and, of course, a respected adored Governor Walker. Republican electorate in the state is well connected with the party, well informed, highly energetic and well in line with the conservative principles. A bunch of happy informed electorate.
The epic battle with the liberals in the state has lead to a tectonic shift in communication. The newspapers have shown clear bias towards the Walker leading the conservatives to find solace in four prominent voices over the radio: Charlie Sykes, Jerry Bader, Vicki McKenna and Mark Belling. Charlie Sykes has been a critical voice in Never Trump campaign and has vouched hours together to be the fort of Trump’s conquest in the state. Gov. Walker endorsed Cruz on Sykes radio show. The influence they hold is unprecedented. Donald lurched onto three of the four biggest shows on Monday, seemingly unaware that all the hosts are part of the “Never Trump” movement. Charlie equated Donald to a “12-year-old bully” and maintained he was no conservative. Ms. McKenna was likewise rough though Mr. Trump did himself no good by hanging up on her. Charlie Sykes interview of Mr. has been a motivation and a must watch, even few influencers concluding that the star anchor of CNN, Anderson Cooper enthused by the interview, showcased the similar traits during the CNN townhall.
FiveThirtyEight expert panel created a roadmap based on the existing polling and demographics for Donald to reach the magical figure of 1237 before the convention. He necessitates 25 from Wisconsin to reach close to 1237. A trout in the Badger state would get him off the game and create a path towards a contested convention. A Trump trout might also retune the views of voters in the Northeast primaries coming next. It’s the first primary in which the vast majority of the votes will have been cast after Marco Rubio’s departure from the race. Post a rout in Utah, followed by Wisconsin would provide a belief in strategic voting.
Kasich has pulled out his ads from most of the Wisconsin Media market, directed his resources and campaign dollars towards Madison Area in Wisconsin where he is leading Trump by 4 points. The results coming out from Wisconsin suggest that Kasich might do well in some districts of New York and Connecticut. Kasich is doing well with moderate Republicans and Cruz with conservatives. Strategic district wise deployment is seen in the Wisconsin.
Donald’s throwback to Rockefeller Republicanism will probably engage well in the states like New York, Pennsylvania, and California, while still leaving Trump petite probability of winning those states in the general election. Trump has an unfavorable rating of 67% amidst the general electorate, 74% amidst women, 51% amidst white voters, 80% amidst millennial, 80% amidst Hispanics, 66% amidst Asians, 51% amidst Catholics, 51% of Born Again/Evangelicals, 55% members of the Investor Class, 61% of the Creative Class, and 54% of Weekly Wal-Mart Shoppers. Mrs. Clinton’s numbers aren’t impressive either. She is She is bolstered by her support among Democrats (75%-22%), liberals (66%-32%), Hispanics (67%-28%), African Americans (77%-19%), and Asians (60%-31%). Will it be Mr. Unfavorable Vs Mrs. Unfavorable?
The birthplace of the Republican Party—and the territory of one of the nation’s most conservative and war-bloodied crowds—looks ready to dump Trump.
(Jacob Parackal is a management consultant and COO at Select My Tutor- In other words a Troublemaker. He is a Rubio Republican. The views expressed in the article are his own and does not reflect the stand of Network18)
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